2009 Regular season record: 75-87, Fourth place, NL West
Major Offseason Acquisitions: Jon Garland (LAD), Jerry Hairston Jr. (NYY), Scott Hairston (OAK), Yorvit Torrealba (COL)
Major Offseason Losses: Kevin Kouzmanoff (OAK), Brian Giles (retired)
Projected Lineup (2009 stats):
- CF-Tony Gwynn Jr. (.270 BA, .350 OBP, 2 HR, 21 RBI, 11 SB)
- SS-David Eckstein (.260 BA, .323 OBP, 2 HR, 51 RBI, 3 SB)
- 1B-Adrian Gonzalez (.277 BA, .407 OBP, 40 HR, 99 RBI, 1 SB)
- LF-Kyle Blanks (.250 BA, .350 OBP, 10 HR, 22 RBI, 1 SB)
- 3B-Chase Headley (.262 BA, .342 OBP, 12 HR, 64 RBI, 10 SB)
- RF-Will Venable (.256 BA. .323 OBP, 12, HR, 38 RBI, 6 SB)
- C-Nick Hundley (.238 BA, .313 OBP, 8 HR, 30 RBI, 5 SB)
- SS-Everth Cabrera (.255 BA, .342 OBP, 2 HR, 31 RBI, 25 SB)
Projected Starting Rotation/Closer (2009 stats):
- RHP Jon Garland (11-13, 4.01 ERA, 204.0 IP)
- RHP Chris Young (4-6, 5.21 ERA, 76.0 IP)
- RHP Kevin Correia (12-11, 3.91 ERA, 198.0 IP)
- LHP Clayton Richard (9-5, 4.41 ERA, 153.0 IP)
- RHP Mat Latos (4-5, 4.62 ERA, 50.2 IP)
Closer: RHP Heath Bell (2.71 ERA, 42 saves)
2010 outlook: Manager Bud Black didn’t receive much credit last year, but he should’ve.
Despite a largely unimpressive roster, he still managed to milk 75 wins out of them and keep them out of the basement in the NL West.
They traded their ace, Jake Peavy, at the deadline last year, and now new acquisition Jon Garland starts his first season as San Diego’s no. 1 starter.
Behind veterans Garland and Chris Young, the Padres have three youngsters that had decent success at the big league level last season.
Heath Bell has also emerged as one of the league’s best, yet unheralded, closers.
However, San Diego’s problem will be its ability to score runs.
Outside of Adrian Gonzalez (the subject of several trade rumors), nobody in the Padres’ opening day lineup hit more than 12 home runs last season or drove in more than 64 runs.
This is where Kyle Blanks and Chase Headley come in.
Blanks lost significant weight in the offseason, and it’s clearly helped him so far in Spring Training, as he’s been legging out extra-base hits that would’ve been singles in 2009.
Headley was solid last season in his full year of big league action, and the Padres are going to need his bat if they are going to score any runs this season.
With the D-Backs rising back up in the standings, I think the Padres are destined to find themselves in last place again in 2010.
2010 outlook: 69-93, Fifth place, NL West